We expect prices to fall again after the nice intermediate rally from USD 66 to USD 75. Of course, the Middle East conflict has created major geopolitical uncertainties in this underlying asset.
Nevertheless, our main scenario envisages falling prices. We expect another test of the 64-66 USD. Only above 76 USD and especially above 79-80 USD would the bulls be back in the driving seat in the medium term. Then, three-digit prices are also conceivable again.
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Previous analysis.
WTI Crude Oil – Gigantic decision zone!
WTI oil is at a major decision zone. At USD 64-66, one of the most significant trend lines and horizontal support zones of the endless contract runs through.
Currently, WTI is approaching this area again. From a technical point of view, it must be assumed that this time, too, buyers will enter the market en masse. A wave up to USD 80 would be possible.
However, it should be noted that a sustained break of this zone can lead to significantly lower prices. From a fundamental point of view, this would also be a clear sign of a further weakening of the global economy.
Below 64 USD on a weekly or monthly closing price, targets in the 45 USD range come into focus.
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