Overall, NOK/SEK is trading above a medium-term tentative upside support line drawn from the low of July 20th. From around mid-November, the pair seems to be forming an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, with a “neckline” near the 1.0193 level, which is marked by the highest point of November. Although there is a good chance we might see further upside, we would prefer to wait for a break above that “neckline” first.
If, eventually, that pop happens and NOK/SEK pushes through the 1.0193 barrier, this will confirm a forthcoming higher high, possibly inviting more buyers into the game. The rate might then travel to the 1.0245 obstacle, a break of which may lead to a test of the 1.0326 hurdle, marked by the high of October 26th. Slightly above it lies another potential resistance target, at 1.0350, which is the highest point of October.
The RSI and the MACD are both pointing higher. Additionally, the RSI is above 50 and the MACD had just popped above zero and the trigger line. The two oscillators are showing positive price momentum, which supports the idea discussed above.
Alternatively, if the rate falls back below the 1.0125 hurdle, this may result in a larger correction lower. NOK/SEK might drift to the 1.0030 territory, marked near the lows of December 17th and 20th. If the slide continues, the pair could end up moving to the next support area, at 0.9988, marked by the low of December 15th, or to the aforementioned upside line.

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