Looking at the technical picture of the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) on our daily chart, we can see that it had recently broken above a medium-term downside resistance line taken from the high of June 25th. The ETF hit a new high for January, reaching the area near the 30.65 hurdle. The price is currently balancing above the 21-day and the 50-day EMAs. Although there is a good chance of seeing a further move north, we would prefer to wait for a break above that 30.65 hurdle first, before targeting higher areas.
A push above the 30.65 barrier would confirm a forthcoming higher high, potentially opening the door to the 31.84 obstacle, or even the 33.39 zone, marked by the highest point of October 2021. EWZ could get halted there for a bit, but if the buyers remain strong, they might send the price towards the 34.17 level. That level marks the high of September 23rd.
The RSI is currently pointing slightly lower but remains above 50. The MACD continues to run above the trigger line, while sitting above zero and pointing higher. In combination, the two oscillators show positive price momentum and support the idea above.
Alternatively, if the price falls all the way back below the 27.98 hurdle, marked by the inside swing high of January 11th, that would place the ETF back below all of its EMAs, which could be seen as a bearish sign. EWZ might then travel to the current lowest point of January, at 26.47, a break of which would confirm a forthcoming lower low. That’s when we will aim for the 24.97 level, which is the inside swing high of May 21st, 2020.

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