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Economic Outlook: Data Blackout Amid U.S. Shutdown – All Eyes on the Fed

Economic Outlook: Data Blackout Amid U.S. Shutdown – All Eyes on the Fed

2025/10/13
05:26
Marcus Klebe

Marcus Klebe

Daily Market Report, JFD Research

The new trading week kicks off on a cautious note as the ongoing U.S. government shutdown continues to paralyze key statistical agencies. As a result, major economic data releases remain on hold. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) has already been officially postponed, and it now appears that the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the weekly jobless claims will also not be published as scheduled.

With the data blackout extending into this week, the market’s attention turns squarely to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is set to speak on Tuesday. Investors are hoping for insights into the Fed’s assessment of the current situation and any clues about future policy direction amid the growing uncertainty.

Today’s session is expected to be quiet, with a long weekend in the U.S. keeping trading volumes low. The bond market is closed for Columbus Day, while equities remain open, which could lead to thin liquidity and some choppy moves on Wall Street.

Traders are also watching for developments in U.S.-China trade tensions, after recent headlines suggested that former President Trump might ease tariff measures ahead of the November 1 deadline. U.S. futures are trading modestly higher, reflecting a degree of optimism that both sides could eventually find common ground.

Meanwhile, Canada also observes a public holiday, meaning North American trading will likely remain subdued early in the week. Over in Europe, the absence of major data releases points to another quiet session, leaving markets to drift on sentiment and positioning rather than fundamentals.

Overall, this is shaping up to be a week of patience and uncertainty, where political headlines and Powell’s upcoming remarks are set to guide the tone across global markets.

Disclaimer:

The content we produce does not constitute investment advice or investment recommendation (should not be considered as such) and does not in any way constitute an invitation to acquire any financial instrument or product. The Group of Companies of JFD, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees are not liable for any damages that may be caused by individual comments or statements by JFD analysts and assumes no liability with respect to the completeness and correctness of the content presented. The investor is solely responsible for the risk of his investment decisions. Accordingly, you should seek, if you consider appropriate, relevant independent professional advice on the investment considered. The analyses and comments presented do not include any consideration of your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs. The content has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements for financial analyses and must therefore be viewed by the reader as marketing information. JFD prohibits the duplication or publication without explicit approval.

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Risk Warning: 59.18% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Please consider our Risk Disclosure.