AUD/CAD Breaks Above a Downside Resistance Line

AUD/CAD traded higher on Wednesday, breaking above the 0.9360 barrier, and at the time of writing, it is testing the 0.9400 area, marked by the high of May 20^th.  Since yesterday, the rate has been trading above the downside resistance line drawn from the high of April 21^st, and thus, we believe that the short-term outlook may have started turning to somewhat positive.

A break above 0.9400 may add more credence to that view, perhaps paving the way towards the peak of May 14^th, at 0.9432, or the 0.9450 zone, marked by the inside swing low of May 7^th. If neither barrier is able to stop the bulls, then a break higher could see scope for extensions towards the 0.9500 area, marked by the high of May 11^th, where another break may set the stage for the peak of the day before, at around 0.9555.

Shifting attention to our short-term oscillators, we see that the RSI lies above 50 and points up, while the MACD, already above its trigger line, has just poked its nose above its zero line. Both indicators detect upside speed and increase the chances for the rate to continue drifting north, at least for a while more.

In order to start examining the resumption of the prior downtrend, we would like to see a dip below 0.9308. Such a move would confirm a forthcoming lower low on both the 4-hour and daily charts and may open the path towards the low of October 20^th, at 0.9247. Another break, below 0.9247, could extend the slide towards the low of June 2^nd, at 0.9190.

Disclaimer:

The content we produce does not constitute investment advice or investment recommendation (should not be considered as such) and does not in any way constitute an invitation to acquire any financial instrument or product. The Group of Companies of JFD, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees are not liable for any damages that may be caused by individual comments or statements by JFD analysts and assumes no liability with respect to the completeness and correctness of the content presented. The investor is solely responsible for the risk of his investment decisions. Accordingly, you should seek, if you consider appropriate, relevant independent professional advice on the investment considered. The analyses and comments presented do not include any consideration of your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs. The content has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements for financial analyses and must therefore be viewed by the reader as marketing information. JFD prohibits the duplication or publication without explicit approval.