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A Look Back at U.S. Government Shutdowns: History & Near-Crises

A Look Back at U.S. Government Shutdowns: History & Near-Crises

2025/09/29
14:04
Marcus Klebe

Marcus Klebe

Daily Market Report, JFD Research

A Look Back at U.S. Government Shutdowns: History & Near-Crises

Since the mid-1970s, budget disputes in the United States have been a recurring phenomenon. In 1976, the Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act came into force, introducing fixed deadlines for passing the federal budget.

However, early funding gaps did not always result in a full shutdown. That changed in 1980, when a legal opinion determined that in the absence of funding, non-essential government functions must cease.

To date, there have been about 23 funding gaps since 1976; roughly 10 of these led to actual shutdowns, forcing federal employees into unpaid leave (“furloughs”).

Some notable shutdowns include:

  • 1995–1996 under President Clinton: lasted more than three weeks, paralyzing large parts of the government.

  • 2013 under President Obama: about 16 days, triggered by disputes over the Affordable Care Act.

  • 2018–2019 under President Trump: the longest shutdown in U.S. history at 35 days, with the main dispute centered on funding for a border wall with Mexico.

Near-Shutdowns: How often have crises been averted?
It is quite common for a deal to be struck at the last minute before a shutdown, often through so-called “Continuing Resolutions” that temporarily extend funding until a final budget is passed.

For example, on September 30, 2023, a shutdown was narrowly avoided by emergency legislation that provided short-term financing.
Many of the early funding gaps in the 1980s did not lead to full shutdowns, as Congress and the President managed to reach compromises just before the deadline.

Impacts & Trends
Shutdowns have severe impacts on public services: agencies close, many federal employees go without pay (or work without immediate compensation), and public facilities such as national parks are shut down.
Economically, shutdowns can be costly – the 2018–2019 shutdown alone was estimated to have cost billions of dollars.

In recent decades, shutdowns have tended to last longer, particularly since the 1990s/2000s. Short shutdowns of just a few days have become less common when disputes are more intense.

Conclusion
Shutdowns are not a rare occurrence in the U.S., but rather a recurring feature of the political budget cycle.
Often, a shutdown is averted just before the deadline – but when it does occur, the consequences are significant, both administratively and economically.

For observers, it’s important not only to ask whether a shutdown will happen, but also how far negotiations have progressed – as the outcome is often decided in the final hours before funding expires.

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The content we produce does not constitute investment advice or investment recommendation (should not be considered as such) and does not in any way constitute an invitation to acquire any financial instrument or product. The Group of Companies of JFD, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees are not liable for any damages that may be caused by individual comments or statements by JFD analysts and assumes no liability with respect to the completeness and correctness of the content presented. The investor is solely responsible for the risk of his investment decisions. Accordingly, you should seek, if you consider appropriate, relevant independent professional advice on the investment considered. The analyses and comments presented do not include any consideration of your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs. The content has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements for financial analyses and must therefore be viewed by the reader as marketing information. JFD prohibits the duplication or publication without explicit approval.

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